Beacon

Forecasting Signal

Forecast more than 600 tickers with 98% accuracy in real time

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Beacon at a glance

4M

constant cards

A socio-economically balanced panel designed to stay stable over time.

600+

tickers

Forecast at under 2% average MAPE against reported revenue for the top 100 tickers.

1-day

lag

Updated daily for earnings prep, nowcasting, and systematic workflows.

Ready

to use

A forecasting signal without the engineering overhead of starting from row-level transactions.

Same cards. Quarter after quarter.

Most transaction panels change as cards enter and leave. That creates a problem for forecasting: when the panel changes, it gets harder to know whether the signal moved because consumers behaved differently or because the people being measured changed.

Beacon holds a balanced panel of 4 million cards constant over time.

That stability helps Beacon forecast 600+ tickers, many at under 2% MAPE against reported revenue, giving you consistency between historical backtests and the signal you receive today.

Size gets you coverage. Stability gets you a forecast you can trust.

Built for the questions investors actually need answered: “What will they report?”

Get the signal before the print.

Beacon arrives daily on a one-day lag, so you can track the quarter as it unfolds instead of waiting for earnings to confirm the trend.

Separate the company story from the macro story.

See whether a retailer is slowing because consumer demand is cooling broadly or because the company is losing ground to competitors.

Backtest the same signal you use today.

A changing panel can quietly turn historical and live data into two different measurements. Beacon’s constant-card design keeps the foundation consistent.

Skip the raw-data build.

Beacon is already shaped for forecasting. If your question is “What is this company likely to report?”, you can start there instead of engineering the signal yourself.

What investors do with Beacon

Prepare for earnings

Track company momentum throughout the quarter and walk into the print with a data-backed forecast.

Build systematic signals

Feed a stable, point-in-time forecasting signal into your quantitative and discretionary models.

Monitor company vs. category

Separate company-specific momentum from broader shifts in consumer demand.

Pressure-test a thesis

When the narrative says demand is accelerating or collapsing, check it against observed consumer spend.

Beacon Data Details

Beacon gives investors a stable, representative forecasting signal shaped for earnings prep and nowcasting.

Specification

Detail

Data type

Constant-card transaction panel, aggregated to ticker-level signal

Panel composition

4 million cards, socio-economically balanced and held constant

Coverage

600+ tickers

Accuracy

Under 2% MAPE against reported revenue (top 100 tickers)

Refresh cadence

Daily, one-day lag

Core use cases

Earnings forecasting, nowcasting, backtestable systematic signals

Delivery

API, Snowflake, S3, approved workflows

Built for

Investors (fundamental and quant)

Why constant cards matter.

Imagine a restaurant chain looks stronger this quarter. If half the consumers in your sample changed since last quarter, you have two possible explanations: demand improved, or the sample changed. Beacon removes more of that uncertainty by holding the same 4 million balanced cards constant.

Forecasts are scored against reported company revenue, while the underlying signal is checked against external economic benchmarks including BEA Personal Consumption Expenditures and U.S. Census Retail Sales.

You don’t have to take “accurate” on faith. With Beacon, you can see exactly what the signal is measured against.

One suite. Different levels of control.

Beacon Forecasting Signal
Choose it when

Choose Beacon when you want the forecast.

What you get

A stable, ready-to-use ticker signal built for earnings and nowcasting.

4M constant cards
600+ tickers
1-day lag
Spectrum Transaction Stream
Choose it when

Choose Spectrum when you want to build it yourself.

What you get

Work from the full row-level transaction stream to create proprietary signals and models.

1B+ transaction/month
97% MARTS correlation
1-day lag
Chroma Spend Insights
Choose it when

Choose Chroma when the question is about spend, not forecasting.

What you get

Explore pre-aggregated consumer spending across companies, categories, markets, and competitors.

5M+ merchant locations
3,500+ brands tracked
92% correlation to U.S. Census Monthly Retail Sales

See the signal before the company reports.

Explore Beacon sample data and see how a stable, verified forecasting signal performs against the companies you cover.

Book a demo

FAQ

How is Beacon different from Spectrum?

Beacon is a constant-card signal engineered for forecasting accuracy. Spectrum is the full row-level stream for building your own signals. Many teams run both.

Why 4 million cards instead of the full panel?

For Beacon, consistency is the point. Holding a socio-economically balanced panel constant reduces changes caused by panel composition and creates a more stable forecasting signal.

How accurate is Beacon?

You have visibility into individual MAPEs across 600+ tickers in the platform. The top 100 tickers have an average MAPE of <2%.

How fresh is the data?

Beacon data is delivered daily, on a one-day lag.

Can Beacon support backtesting?

Yes. The constant-card design and point-in-time consistency exist specifically so historical and live signals match.

How is Beacon validated?

Forecasts are scored against company-reported revenue. The underlying signal is also checked against external economic benchmarks including BEA PCE and U.S. Census retail sales.

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